Victoria records 70 new cases and five more deaths

Victoria has recorded 70 new cases and five more deaths, with a leading epidemiologist predicting case numbers will likely decrease by about 10 per cent per day on average.

The state's death toll has increased to 565 and the total number of cases is 19,080.

On Monday, 73 cases were recorded, the lowest daily figure since early July.

Also on Monday, 41 cases were added to the Victorian death toll, a number inflated by delayed aged-care reporting

Tuesday's death toll is the state's lowest since August 15 when four deaths were reported.



Leading epidemiologist Tony Blakely predicts there will be about 30 cases per day when Victoria is set to move out of stage four restrictions on September 13.

The University of Melbourne professor told Nine's Today show it was too early for Victorians to see single-digit case growth by this weekend, despite some optimistic predictions.

Case numbers will likely decrease by about 10 per cent per day on average, he said, meaning single-digit daily case numbers would not occur until after Sunday, September 13.

Premier Daniel Andrews will unveil his "road map" to reopen the state on Sunday, a week before September 13.

Professor Blakely said Victorians, including himself, were fed up with stay-at-home orders but said reopening, even with as few as 30 new cases per day, was risky.

"You [can] resurge again and you get the cases coming back. So it's really important to strike the balance here. I am sick of lockdown, we are all sick of lockdown, but we need to come out where we don't have a wave coming in that will have us back in lockdown by Christmas."

Professor Blakely said it was possible the state could open up and suppress cases effectively if testing rates remained high, businesses operated safely and people continued to wear face masks.

"There's a lot of things that need to be done well. Contact tracing needs to be done much better by the Victorian government than previously has been the case," he said.

"Us as citizens [need to be] using masks in those outdoor environments and be sensible and not have mass group gatherings. It's a very different world, but it's our reality."

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