Cost of housing migrants 'could top £6bn a year within five years'

08/26/2023

Cost of housing Channel migrants could top £6billion a year within five years if small boats crossings are not stopped according to think tank that warns of a ‘perma-backlog’ of cases even WITH Rwanda flights being approved

The cost of housing illegal immigrants could almost triple to more than £6billion a year within five years without a rapid increase in the rate at which cases are dealt with and they are deported, a new report claims today.

The Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) said Government plans to tackle unauthorised migration into the UK could become mired in a ‘perma-backlog’ where the pace of arrivals exceeds that of departures.

The Illegal Migration Act, central to Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s pledge to ‘stop the boats’ crossing the Channel, means asylum claims of people who come to the UK illegally will not be considered and they face deportation to their home country or to a ‘safe’ third nation such as Rwanda.

But flights destined for the east African country have yet to take off, with the policy currently awaiting an appeal decision in the courts, and there are no similar agreements with other countries.

The IPPR said that even if the Rwanda deal is ruled lawful, deportations are likely to be on a small scale, meaning arrivals will continue to outpace removals.

Blocked from working, they could remain reliant on costly long-term Government support and housing. IPPR researchers estimated that accommodation costs could exceed £6 billion a year after five years in the worst case scenario where only 50 people are removed to third countries each month.

Even with a higher rate of removals the cost would be more than £5billion, it claims. Home Office figures show the UK is currently spending £2.3billion on accommodation.

Migrants rescued from a boat crossing the English Channel land on Dungeness Beach in Kent yesterday

Yesterday Rishi Sunak failed to guarantee he will be able to stop small boat crossings in the English Channel by the next general election as he acknowledged the complexity of the issue.

The Prime Minister expressed his commitment to stopping the boats and highlighted that the number of illegal migrants making the dangerous journey this year is ‘down for the first time in some years’.

However, he said he would not be being ‘straight’ with the public if he claimed the crisis can be solved overnight.

The asylum backlog has already been on an upward trend in recent years, driven by a rise in arrivals and longer turnaround times for decisions, putting pressure on Home Office accommodation.

Ministers are looking to house migrants on former military bases and a barge to reduce the expense of accommodating them in hotels, which is costing British taxpayers up to £6 million per day.

The think tank also pointed to a risk of an expanding undocumented population, vulnerable to destitution, as people avoid the official system knowing they have no right to stay or fearing removal.

Marley Morris, IPPR’s associate director for migration, trade and communities, said: ‘There is only a very narrow window for Government success on asylum, based on its current plan to forge ahead with the Rwanda deal and the Illegal Migration Act. Even with the Act fully implemented, under most plausible scenarios arrivals will still outpace removals.

‘This will mean a growing population of people permanently in limbo, putting huge pressure on Home Office accommodation and support systems – plus a risk of thousands of people who vanish from the official system and are at risk of exploitation and destitution.

‘Any incoming government would be likely to face a dire and increasingly costly challenge which it would need to address urgently from the outset – there will be no option to ignore or sideline the crisis it inherits.’

Mr Sunak has made stopping the boats one of his top five priorities ahead of next year’s likely general election.

Almost 18,000 migrants have arrived in the UK after crossing the English Channel so far this year.

Stephen Kinnock, Labour’s shadow immigration minister, said: ‘This report confirms what Labour has been saying all along. The Prime Minister’s new law is a con which will not solve the chaos in the immigration system the Tories have created.

‘Instead, it will make it worse, keeping more people locked in limbo waiting for years for asylum decisions and the taxpayer left footing an almighty bill.’

He said a Labour government would go after criminal gangs to tackle small-boat crossings, negotiate a returns deal with the European Union and clear the asylum backlog.

A Home Office spokesperson said: ‘The Illegal Migration Act will help to clear the asylum backlog by allowing us to detain and swiftly remove those who arrive here illegally.

‘While we operationalise the measures in the Act, we continue to remove those with no right to be here through existing powers.

‘We are also on track to clear the ”legacy” backlog of asylum cases. It has been reduced by a nearly a third since the start of December and we have doubled the number of asylum decision-makers in post over the past two years.’

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